New input methods will be
the dominant trend of 2012. Tablet computers such as the iPad might
seem like a nice alternative to desktop and laptop computers, but I
believe they're more than that: They're replacements. Just as the
command line (remember that?) gave way to graphical user interfaces, so
the mouse will be superseded by touchscreens.
The signs are obvious:
Windows 8 and Mac OS X Lion, the latest desktop operating systems,
borrow heavy from their mobile counterparts. These new interfaces
essentially impose a touchscreen-inspired interface over the traditional
desktop environment.
Over time, this half-step
will become a whole one, and mobile operating systems will dominate.
The transition won't be complete by the end of 2012, but we'll be much
further down the path, and using computer mice much less often.
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